rooozt · price index
Tokyo hotel price calendar: which nights are cheap, which are expensive (4 Oct 2026 – 1 Jan 2027)
From the real rates of 80 popular hotels in Tokyo, pulled 3 Oct 2026: of the 90 nights ahead, 35 are cheaper than usual, 19 are normal and 36 are pricier than usual. The cheapest 3-night window is Mon 14 Dec 2026 – Thu 17 Dec 2026 (−25% on average); the single most expensive night is Sat 21 Nov 2026 (+112%); the cheapest is Mon 14 Dec 2026 (−26%).
This page is rooozt's own price index for Tokyo, rebuilt every week from a fixed set of the city's 80 most-reviewed hotels. Every night is priced with the same occupancy (2 adults, 1 room) and compared with the median of all 90 nights of the same city — so "cheap" here means cheaper than Tokyo's own coming quarter, never cheaper than another city or another website. Use it to pick dates; use the search button to see live prices for them.
Calendar: every night, October 2026 to January 2027
Green = ฿ at least 5% below the city median · yellow = ฿฿ within ±5% · red = ฿฿฿ at least 5% above · white = no reading for that night (fewer than 20 of the 80 hotels returned a rate).
October 2026
November 2026
December 2026
January 2027
Week by week: how many cheap and expensive nights
| Week of | ฿ cheap | ฿฿ normal | ฿฿฿ pricier | Median vs city |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 28 Sep 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | −16% |
| Mon 5 Oct 2026 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +14% |
| Mon 12 Oct 2026 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +8% |
| Mon 19 Oct 2026 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0% |
| Mon 26 Oct 2026 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +2% |
| Mon 2 Nov 2026 | 2 | 2 | 3 | −4% |
| Mon 9 Nov 2026 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4% |
| Mon 16 Nov 2026 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +8% |
| Mon 23 Nov 2026 | 5 | 1 | 1 | −9% |
| Mon 30 Nov 2026 | 5 | 1 | 1 | −15% |
| Mon 7 Dec 2026 | 5 | 1 | 1 | −14% |
| Mon 14 Dec 2026 | 6 | 0 | 1 | −22% |
| Mon 21 Dec 2026 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +3% |
| Mon 28 Dec 2026 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +46% |
The five cheapest and five most expensive nights (small figure = hotels with a rate / set)
Cheapest nights
- Mon 14 Dec 202671/80−26%
- Wed 16 Dec 202670/80−25%
- Mon 7 Dec 202671/80−24%
- Tue 15 Dec 202670/80−22%
- Thu 17 Dec 202671/80−22%
Most expensive nights
- Sat 21 Nov 202656/80+112%
- Sat 10 Oct 202651/80+104%
- Sat 7 Nov 202657/80+87%
- Thu 31 Dec 202649/80+71%
- Sat 24 Oct 202657/80+70%
Weekend vs weekday
Friday and Saturday nights in Tokyo run about 34% above Monday–Thursday nights in this pull (median of each group). If your dates are flexible, shifting a weekend stay to midweek is the simplest saving on this page.
- Mon −16%
- Tue −11%
- Wed −1%
- Thu +7%
- Fri +26%
- Sat +63%
- Sun −6%
How this index is calculated
rooozt keeps a fixed "universe" of Tokyo's 80 most-reviewed hotels (review score ≥ 7, ≥ 100 reviews) and, through its own feed access, asks for every one of them for every night of the next 90 — 2 adults, 1 room, Thai baht, before taxes — a few nights at a time, so the whole set refreshes about weekly. For each night it stores only the median rate across those hotels, then divides by the median of all nights: that ratio is the number shown as a percentage. Bands: ฿ ≤ −5%, ฿฿฿ ≥ +5%. Newest reading in this build: 3 Oct 2026; oldest: 3 Oct 2026. No individual hotel's rate is stored or shown.
What this page is not
It is not a price list, not a forecast and not a guarantee: rates change by the hour, and a night marked ฿ can still be expensive at a specific hotel. It compares Tokyo with itself only — it says nothing about whether Tokyo is a cheap destination. Nights with fewer than 20 readings are left blank rather than guessed. On nights where many of the 80 hotels are already sold out, the median comes only from the rooms still open — usually the dearer ones — so a very high figure (shown with its hotel count, e.g. 47/80) means "pricier AND the cheap rooms are gone", not a pure price rise. For live prices on the dates you choose, use the search button.
Questions people ask
›When are hotels in Tokyo cheapest in the next three months?
In rooozt's 3 Oct 2026 pull, the cheapest 3-night window in Tokyo is Mon 14 Dec 2026 – Thu 17 Dec 2026 (−25% on average), and the single cheapest night is Mon 14 Dec 2026 (−26% vs the city median). The five cheapest nights are Mon 14 Dec 2026 (−26%), Wed 16 Dec 2026 (−25%), Mon 7 Dec 2026 (−24%), Tue 15 Dec 2026 (−22%), Thu 17 Dec 2026 (−22%).
›Which nights in Tokyo are the most expensive?
The five priciest nights in this pull are Sat 21 Nov 2026 (+112%), Sat 10 Oct 2026 (+104%), Sat 7 Nov 2026 (+87%), Thu 31 Dec 2026 (+71%), Sat 24 Oct 2026 (+70%). 36 of the 90 nights ahead are at least 5% above Tokyo's median.
›Are weekends more expensive than weekdays in Tokyo?
Friday and Saturday nights in Tokyo run about 34% above Monday–Thursday nights in this pull (median of each group). If your dates are flexible, shifting a weekend stay to midweek is the simplest saving on this page.
›Where do these numbers come from, and how often are they updated?
From rooozt's own feed access: the same 80 popular Tokyo hotels are priced for every night of the next 90 with the same occupancy, a few nights per pass, so the set refreshes about once a week. Each night's figure is its median rate divided by the median of all nights — a ratio, not a price. This page was built from the pull of 3 Oct 2026; the search button shows live prices.
See live prices for the cheapest window, 14 Dec – 17 Dec